By Sanjay Patil - Nagpur--01-03-2019---Indian Air Force launched an air strike in Balakot in Pakistan on Tuesday morning. In this attack Jaish-e-Mohammed's base was destroyed, India's Foreign Secretary Vijay Gokhale said. He said that 'many terrorists were killed' in this attack.
Discussions about the outcome of this attack have started. South Asia's safety expert Professor Christine Fair also analyzed the action taken by India during the attack on CRPF convoy at Pulwama.
According to Christine Fire, the direct attack on the attack is with the election. If Modi is elected again after this action, then it will be beneficial to Pakistan, Christine expressed his opinion.
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- Read the detailed analysis of Christine Fire.I have consistently said that the attacks are related to the general elections held in India. In India, attacks are taking place. The attack on Pulwama was different. Very planned attack was planned.The soldiers were targeted for the Pulwama attack. This was an insult to people. Because Indians are very passionate about their army and the soldiers.
- The nature of American people is quite contrary to that. In the United States, when civilians are killed, civilians are angry. When soldiers die, Indians become angry.CRPF jawans were targeted at Pulwama. This is a paramilitary force of India. The CRPF comprises of very few funding security forces. The attack on these soldiers was definitely condemned.There was no suicide attack after Jaish-e-Mohammedan 2000. After 19 years, this attack was done and it was intended to provoke people's attention. The attack time was very carefully selected. This led to the overwhelming response of the attack after the attack.
Pakistan's advantage to Modi's victory
In fact, Modi's victory in the Indian elections will be the biggest benefit to the Pakistani Deep State. This thing is not interesting to Indians.But this is the fact. There are currently many internal pressures in Pakistan. The biggest problem is the Pashtun agitation. This movement is dangerous for Pakistan's integration. The strong, harmonious India holds the risky Bagbalbuwa from Pakistan.- From Pakistan's point of view, some radical killers have no effect on their military agenda. However, attacking Narendra Modi's victory in India is very consistent with Pakistan's needs.After the BJP's victory, it is possible for Pakistan to create fear that 'Hindus in the blind and nationalist India are in danger'. Such fear can not be created after the congressional victory.The attack time and method were favorable for securing the victory of Modi in Lok Sabha elections. I repeatedly stress this thing and say this. Before the attack, the picture of the results of the Lok Sabha elections was changed. But now Modi is almost certain to win. This is the desire of Pakistan's intelligence agencies too.
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- A strong India, who fears Pakistan, makes confusion among Pakistani citizens and forces them to stand up to Pakistan Army. Although the Pakistani army is doing a very bad act like killing the Pashtuns, they forget it.The meaning of Modi's victory will benefit the Pakistani 'Deep State', the meaning of this statement should not be denied at all. This statement was not meant to be said by Modi about the attack. The only way that Modi's victory is needed is by the Pakistani army. Because of this, Pakistani soldiers can cover the atrocities committed on Pashtun and Baluchi.
Pakistan will reply to India?
Pakistan has agreed that India has entered its territory after the air strikes. But Pakistan has denied that it has suffered huge losses.- Pakistan's political leadership, as well as the army, said that the Indian attack will be responded at the right time and in the right place. Therefore, the pressure of Pakistani army to take action against India has increased. But is it really the question that Pakistan can attack any country against India?
Pakistan can not take action
Pakistan has replied that we immediately responded to India's attack and snatched Indian aircraft. It was told from Pakistan that Indian aircraft was carrying explosives when they fled.- The meaning of Pakistan's legislation can be interpreted as India is claiming the boldest attack, and therefore there is no need to give up brave North India.India has clearly stated that 12 Mirage aircraft entered Pakistan's borders and attacked the bomb. It was a very brave attack and there was nothing to say to the Pakistani air force. That's their main problem.
International pressure on Pakistan
If Pakistan takes reputable action, they can benefit. However, in my opinion, the Pakistan environment will allow the cold to cool. Because international pressures are also high on Pakistan.We do not have complete information about what India did and did not do. But Pakistan has reduced the intensity of what India has done. Pakistan's doing this is a positive sign.
The European Union, Australia and other countries are pressurizing Pakistan not to respond. The American President has fanned Pakistan's ears. China also wants Pakistan to not engage in any war.- I do not think Pakistan will take any major action in its absence. But there is no reason to doubt that. Because all the events have started now.From Pakistan's point of view, this control is not an attack against a line, it is an attack across Pakistan across the Line of Control. If it seems necessary to reply in an uncertain position, then Pakistan can take action in Kashmir around the Line of Control. Some years ago Pakistan had created a blast near the North International Border Line.When the US had taken action against bin Laden, many helicopters entered the Pakistani territory. The Pakistani Air Force had not taken any action. That is what we have seen before.There are many misconceptions about the problems that are found here. India has a large army. But the capacity of the Indian Army depends on the battle being fought where. It can be either on the war line or on the international border.There is a difference in the capability of both countries. However, when India and Pakistan's army stand on control lines and international boundaries, their capabilities do not differ greatly.
- In the event of a long war, India can use its military as per its full potential. Army can be deployed in different areas of the country. This is the only way I understand it. I think that many American analysts have been thinking that way. Pakistan or India does not have the ability to win decisively if there is a small war.This is a situation even after India has modernized its army. India has a large army. But the Pakistani intelligence service can get information about the movement of Indian troops.My opinion is that in a small war, India and Pakistan will not be able to win a decisive victory over each other. And the international community will not allow a long war in both countries. Because both countries are nuclear weapons. It is certainly not possible to have a long war in them.(BBC Communicator Dayanovas Pasha interacted with professor Christine Fire)
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